The Current 10-Year Treasury Yield Is Above 4%. Here’s Why It Matters - NerdWallet (2024)

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The 10-year Treasury yield (ticker: US10Y) describes what 10-year U.S. Treasury notes will pay over 10 years if bought today. Also known as T-notes, Treasury notes are a low-risk fixed-income investment that pays a set rate of interest every six months.

The 10-year Treasury is frequently used in the news as a barometer or proxy for economic factors, including investor sentiment and mortgage rates. The 10-year Treasury yield is currently around 4%.

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What is the 10-year Treasury?

Considered one of the lowest-risk investments on the U.S. market, 10-year Treasurys are a “risk-free” benchmark against which other investments and debt are compared. (Three-month Treasury bills are another.)

While no investment is ever completely risk-free, Treasury notes come close if held to maturity. As a result, some investors and analysts look to demand for T-notes as one way to assess investor confidence in the economy.

Treasury notes are one of four main types of U.S. government debt securities. The others are Treasury bills, Treasury bonds and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). They vary in their duration, interest payments and yields.

🤓Nerdy Tip

The “10 year Treasury” describes what 10-year U.S. Treasury notes will pay over 10 years if bought today. The 10-year yield is currently around 4%, following a recent high of 5.2% on October 29, 2023. Learn more about these “risk-free” Treasury or T-notes here.

What is the 10-year treasury yield today?

Here is today's 10-year Treasury note yield, alongside other Treasury securities for reference.

Rates are sourced from Google Finance and may be delayed. Data is solely for informational purposes, not for trading.

» Learn more: What are Treasurys? Government bonds vs. notes vs. bills

Key terms

Competitive bid

When a bidder specifies the conditions of the Treasury (such as rate and yield) that they’re willing to accept.

Non-competitive bid

When a bidder agrees to accept whatever conditions, such as rate and yield, are established at the auction.

Price

The face value of a Treasury note, or what you pay to loan the government money.

Treasury bill

The shortest-term U.S. debt security, Treasury bills mature in less than a year. They’re also known as a zero-coupon bond. T-bills do not pay interest like other Treasurys, and instead are sold at a discount. The difference between the face value of the T-bill and its discount rate is the “interest earned.”

Treasury bond

A long-term U.S. debt security maturing in 20 or 30 years.

Treasury note

A type of U.S. debt security maturing in 2, 3, 5, 7 or 10 years.

US10Y

Market ticker for the 10-year Treasury yield.

Yield

The interest rate the U.S. government pays on its debt, or how much you can earn from investing in a Treasury note.

Price vs. yield

Treasury prices and yields tend to move in opposite directions, and are affected by supply and demand and the health of the economy. The purchase price or face value of a Treasury note is what you pay to buy it. The T-note’s yield is the interest rate you earn for loaning the government money.

Treasury notes are sold at auction through a bidding process. The Treasury first accepts any noncompetitive bids, or bids from investors who accept the current T-note rate and yield. Then, the Treasury accepts the highest competitive bid.

If demand for Treasury notes is high, they may sell for more than their face value. If demand is low, on the other hand, Treasurys can sell for less than their face value.

The Treasury may raise the yield of newly issued 10-year notes if the price of existing 10-year notes starts to fall on secondary bond markets (because of market forces like inflation). If there's high inflation, for example, the potentially higher yield of newly issued 10-year notes will make them more attractive than previously issued T-notes.

This effect is also known as interest rate risk and is most relevant for investors trying to sell T-notes on a secondary market. If held for their full duration, Treasury notes still pay their coupon payments and principal in full. But if a T-note-holder were to sell early, they may have to discount the price.

Longer-term investments tend to offer higher yields to offset any potential price impact from interest rate or other risks.

Why is the 10-year Treasury yield important?

As one of the lowest-risk investments on the market, the 10-year Treasury and its yield are important for several reasons. First, the 10-year Treasury is a baseline against which the risk of other investments is assessed.

Treasury rates also affect interest rates for other types of consumer debt, like real estate and mortgage loans. Consumers often compare the return they could earn on Treasurys to certificates of deposit, money market accounts, corporate bonds and even mortgage-backed securities. So when yields for 10-year T-notes go up, so too do rates for real estate and mortgage debt.

Finally, supply and demand for Treasurys fluctuate with the economic climate. When markets or world events turn tumultuous, investors tend to flock to Treasurys in search of a safe haven. When times are good, though, investors tend to seek out other investments that can provide a more favorable return.

Are 10-year Treasury notes a good investment?

Whether 10-year Treasurys are a good investment for you depends on your investment goal. If your goal is to let your money grow slowly and conservatively over time, Treasury notes are considered a low-risk investment if held to maturity since they’re backed by the U.S. government.

One of the main risks with Treasury notes is what’s known as “opportunity cost”: You could forgo potential profits by investing in T-notes instead of a security with a higher potential return.

» Learn more about long-term investments

How do you buy 10-year Treasury notes?

Treasury notes can be bought in increments of $100 directly from the U.S. government via TreasuryDirect, or through a bank or broker. T-notes can also be purchased bundled together in the form of a Treasury exchange-traded fund.

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The Current 10-Year Treasury Yield Is Above 4%. Here’s Why It Matters - NerdWallet (4)

Do you pay tax on T-notes?

Investors pay federal income taxes but no state or local taxes on T-notes and other Treasurys.

Next Steps

  • How to buy Treasurys

  • Best brokers for bond investing

  • What a brokerage account is and how to open one

  • Yield curve: what It is and why it matters

The Current 10-Year Treasury Yield Is Above 4%. Here’s Why It Matters - NerdWallet (2024)
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